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CartSignal Store health report

Store Health Report · USD 49

Revenue is flat and three things underneath it moved

Twelve weeks of store data, with the anomaly in week 38 that nobody noticed.

Prepared for
Fernbank Goods · DTC garden tools, USD 82,000 a month
Reference
CS-8839-SHR
Issued
19 October 2026
Settlement
$CART · USDC on Base

Revenue has moved less than two percent in twelve weeks, which is why nothing has felt urgent. Underneath it, conversion has fallen, average order value has risen enough to hide it, and one product has stopped selling entirely since a Tuesday in September.

Flat revenue, three moving parts

Conversion is down 18 percent, average order value is up 21 percent and they have cancelled each other out. The AOV rise is not a win: it is your cheapest product line disappearing from the mix after a listing change on 16 September.

-1.8% Revenue, twelve weeks
-18% Conversion rate
+21% Average order value
16 Sep When one product stopped selling
01

Trend

What the headline is hiding

Indexed to week 30, twelve weeks · index, week 30 equals 100
RevenueConversion rateAverage order value
130 60 W30W32W34W36W38W40W41 Revenue, W30: 100 Revenue, W31: 102 Revenue, W32: 99 Revenue, W33: 101 Revenue, W34: 103 Revenue, W35: 100 Revenue, W36: 98 Revenue, W37: 101 Revenue, W38: 97 Revenue, W39: 99 Revenue, W40: 98 Revenue, W41: 98 98 Conversion rate, W30: 100 Conversion rate, W31: 101 Conversion rate, W32: 98 Conversion rate, W33: 99 Conversion rate, W34: 100 Conversion rate, W35: 97 Conversion rate, W36: 96 Conversion rate, W37: 95 Conversion rate, W38: 84 Conversion rate, W39: 83 Conversion rate, W40: 82 Conversion rate, W41: 82 82 Average order value, W30: 100 Average order value, W31: 101 Average order value, W32: 101 Average order value, W33: 102 Average order value, W34: 103 Average order value, W35: 103 Average order value, W36: 102 Average order value, W37: 106 Average order value, W38: 116 Average order value, W39: 118 Average order value, W40: 120 Average order value, W41: 121 121

The two lower lines separate sharply at week 38 and the top line does not move. That is the week of 16 September, and it is the most informative single point in twelve weeks of data.

02

Products

Winners, laggards and the one that vanished

ProductOrders, W30 to 37Orders, W38 to 41ChangeRead
Hand tool starter set 728 16 -98% Delisted from the collection by accident
Border spade 312 198 -37% Seasonal, expected
Secateurs, pro 244 241 -1% Steady
Kneeler 186 203 +9% Some starter set demand landed here
Tool roll 94 141 +50% Absorbed starter set traffic
Watering set 88 84 -5% Steady
Compost bin 51 22 -57% Seasonal

The kneeler and the tool roll together picked up about 64 orders of the 712 the starter set lost. Roughly 90 percent of that demand simply left.

Estimated revenue effect of the delisting, four weeks
Starter set orders lost USD 17,088 712 orders at USD 24
Recovered by other products USD 4,160 64 orders at higher value
Net revenue lost USD 12,928 In four weeks

About USD 3,200 a week, invisible in a revenue line that moved 1.8 percent because the mix shifted upward at the same time. This is the single clearest argument for watching conversion and AOV separately rather than only watching revenue.

03

Customers

Who is buying

W30 to 37W38 to 41Change
New customers 1,284 812 -37%
Returning customers 402 396 -1%
New customer share 76% 67% -9 points
Average order value, new USD 31 USD 44 +42%
Average order value, returning USD 67 USD 69 +3%
Repeat rate within 90 days 14% 14% Unchanged

The starter set was your entry product and it was doing the work of acquisition. New customers fell 37 percent while returning customers did not move at all, which is exactly what you would expect if the cheapest way in disappeared.

04

Actions

One urgent, three worth doing

  1. Today

    Restore the starter set to the Tools collection

    Check the collection rule against the product tags. The catalogue import on 16 September is the likely cause and it may have affected other products that were less visible.

  2. Today

    Check every product against every collection

    One query. If one product fell out silently, others may have. This is the second most valuable ten minutes available to you.

  3. This week

    Set an alert on orders per product

    Any product whose weekly orders fall more than 50 percent against its four week average. This specific failure would have been caught in six days instead of thirty four.

  4. This week

    Report conversion and AOV alongside revenue

    Revenue alone moved 1.8 percent while the two components moved 18 and 21. A single line cannot show that and it is why this went unnoticed for five weeks.

  • Starter set restored and verified on the live collection page
  • All products checked against all collections
  • Per product order alert configured
  • Weekly report shows conversion and AOV, not just revenue
  • Catalogue import reviewed for what else it changed on 16 September
  • Re-measure new customer count in two weeks
CartSignal store analysis · confidential to the buyer · 19 October 2026 CartSignal · $CART
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